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Algo Mas's avatar

Well done, gang. This gives us a few LDs to keep an eye on.

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Morgan's avatar

I see your 7 and I raise you 1 ... while LD27 was rated by the IRC as R +8.9, 2022 AZ House elections went another way, with Fontes winning in the district, Kelly close, and the Dem House candidate coming within less than 4 points with essentially no backing and against well-known opponents. This year the R candidates there are less known, and the D candidate, Deborah Howard, is actively campaigning. I'd say this one should now be considered a swing district. CEBV includes it in their lists, and I do too.

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Hank Stephenson's avatar

Ah the Rivero district? Dems got a single shot so maybe it’ll make the updated list. What are your other outside chance districts?

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Morgan's avatar

I'll think about it further but I think that you may have gotten all of the plausible swing districts other than 27. Still surprises are always possible ...

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Judy R.'s avatar

Yes, indeed. LD 27 has a shot of taking the House seat.

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ame bec's avatar

LD13- you missed a Candidate https://www.codyforazld13.com/

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